Nine Virginia Divisions Saw Graduation Rates Spike During COVID, Then Fall Back
Nine Virginia divisions show a spike-then-crash graduation pattern: rates rose at least 3 points by 2021, then fell at least 3 points by 2023.
Data-Driven Education Journalism for the Old Dominion
Education News & Data
Local education reporting from every corner of Virginia, grounded in Virginia Department of Education data.
Richmond fall membership is down 18% since 2003, but virtual-school enrollment and ADM data show the 2021 spike was not a simple local headcount change.
Multiracial enrollment grew 81.8% since 2011, the fastest growth of any racial group in Virginia. The shift reflects demographic change and evolving identity.
More than a quarter of Virginia school divisions recorded their worst-ever graduation rate in 2023, including Norfolk, Bedford, and Portsmouth.
Virginia Beach City improved its graduation rate every year from 2019 to 2023, reaching 95.3% with the second-largest cohort in Virginia at 5,111 students.
Nine Virginia divisions show a spike-then-crash graduation pattern: rates rose at least 3 points by 2021, then fell at least 3 points by 2023.
Osbourn High School in Manassas City improved from 77.7% to 89.5% between 2019 and 2023, closing a 14-point gap with the state.
Fairfax County's 93.4% graduation rate masks three alternative schools where 40-79% of students drop out, serving 431 students where dropping out is the majority outcome.
Virginia added 14,686 English learners in two years while total enrollment fell. Two divisions are now majority-LEP, and the growth is spreading statewide.
Danville City's graduation rate dropped from 81.8% to 73.3% over four years, while its dropout rate climbed from 9.4% to 17%, the largest increase in Virginia.
43 of Virginia's 131 school divisions hit all-time low enrollment in 2025, from Virginia Beach to Highland County's 208 students.
Richmond City's 23.8% dropout rate is nearly five times the state average. George Wythe High had 48.4% of its cohort drop out in 2023.
Virginia's largest school division lost 4.4% of its enrollment since 2020 even as its school-age population increased by 9,000. Where did the families go?
Hampton City graduated 96.4% of its 1,461-student cohort in 2023, outperforming wealthier suburban divisions like Stafford and Chesterfield.
Hispanic enrollment crossed 20% for the first time in 2024-25, adding 59,229 students since 2017 while Black enrollment fell. The gap between the two groups shrank to 14,794.
Virginia's Advanced Studies diploma share ranges from 79% in Goochland County to 17% in Giles County, a gap that maps onto wealth and geography.